The Capital Observer
Selection_999(1579).png

February 2021

www.thecapitalobserver.com

  • About

  • Publications

  • Testimonials & Awards

  • Blog

  • Contact

  • More

     

    February 2018 -  Available

    Monthly Issues

    Issue #14, 8th February 2018

    Download Full Document

    Themes:

    ​

    04 / Executive Summary

    ​

    06/ Mapping the Markets

    ​

    12/  Commodities’ allure as diversifier, growth articipation Asset and Inflation Hedge enhanced as the Fed poises to tightens monetary policy even further

     

    18/ Timing and Tactical Insight - Commodities may consolidate towards late Q1, they should then re-accelerate up again towards late Q2 / midyear

    ​

    24 / EM economies and assets are outperforming, but a US dollar resurgence later in the year may derail MSCI EM$ and EM currencie

    ​

    26/Timing and Tactical Insight - Emerging Markets still look strong towards late Q2, yet may underperform until March

    ​

    32 / Inventories’ negative seasonality and outlook of large US oil output threaten a pullback in oil and E&P equity prices

    ​

    35/Timing and Tactical Insight - The latest Sell-off is probably an initial warning of the end-game to unfold later this year

    ​

    41 / Eurozone will keep growth momentum going in 2018 on weaker EUR/ USD, but political risks will become even more elevated

    ​

    44/Timing and Tactical Insight - Strong potential, yet will it be fulfilled? Financials still look strong at least

    ​

    52/Splicing the markets - Could H1 2018 see the return of the Yen carry trade ?