December 2019

Issue #36, 17th December 2019

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Themes:

 

1/ Bond Yields and Yield Curves in 2020: rising yields in H1, with yield curve steepening for most of the year and lower repo rates

2/ US equities: a “perfect storm” of positive factors imply higher valuations until mid-year at least; looking for a shortterm bottom by early January: buy the dip

3US Dollar: seasonality of liquidity flows and surging Core CPI should push DXY higher again after the current sell of

4Crude Oil: The new bull market phase has started; Brent oil at $90.00/bbl in Q2/Q3 2020 is now very much on track as presented

Splicing the markets - Things To Know About Pozsar's Potential 'Repocalypse' At YearEnd, Which 'May Precede' QE4

Q4 2019

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Issue #36,  17th December 2019

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Issue #35,  15th November 2019

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Issue #34,  15th October 2019

Q3 2019

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Issue #33,  16th September 2019

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Issue #32,  15th August 2019

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Issue #31,  15th July 2019

Q2 2019

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Issue #30,  13th June 2019

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Issue #29,  15th May 2019

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Issue #28,  11th April 2019

Q1 2019

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Issue #27,  13th March 2019

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Issue #26,  12th February 2019

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Issue #25,  15th January 2019