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Issue #16, 12th April 2018
Themes:
04 / Executive Summary
06/ Mapping the Markets
12 / Timing the Late Cycle Stage: growth in risk asset prices likely until late Q2-early Q3 2018
25/ The widening Libor-OIS spread: it is not as benign as perceived
26/ Timing and Tactical Insight - Is the widening of LIBOR-OIS spread already affecting the pricing of Banks and of listed Credit instruments?
35 /The outlook from Systemic Liquidity Models: looking for a major trough during the second half of April 2018, followed by the next phase of the bull market
38/ Timing and Tactical Insight - The reflation trade will see one more rally, probably between late April and June
44 /Gold set for one more rally to a new high, but will likely come under extreme pressure later in the year when the US Dollar takes of
47/ Timing and Tactical Insight - Gold should break-out to the upside, before it retraces down on USD strength in H2 2018
52/Splicing the markets - Focus on the Energy sector in light of the strong uptrend in Oil
the team
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