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February 2021

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    • February 2017

    December 2016  -  Available 

    Previous Issues

    Issue #11, 1st November 2017

    Download Full Document

    Themes:

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    04/ Executive Summary

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    06/ Mapping the Markets

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    08/China's Communist Party Congress provided a strong boost for medium-term outlook in commodities 

     

    11/Timing and Tactical Insight - China, the motor for reflation II is still humming

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    17/Looking at the historical dynamic of the yield curve, it may be too early for a significant structural  steepening

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    20/Timing and Tactical Insight - The Yield Curve is still flattening, yet a short term bounce may materialise from late November into early 2018

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    26/Will the US Dollar strengthen when the Fed reduces its balance sheet? It may not be the case

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    29/Timing and Tactical Insight - The Dollar should retrace down into November

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    37/Seasonality in Oil may trigger a short term dip in November but the uptrend reasserts thereafter

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    39/Timing and Tactical Insight - Short term, Oil may Stop and Go, yet is still very positive until late December / January

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    46/Splicing the markets - Strong markets with a rotational bias should continue towards H1 2018, yet short term risk/reward still looks extended