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February 2021

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    May 2018 - Available

    Monthly Issues

    Issue #17, 11th May 2018

    Download Full Document

    Themes:

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    04/ Executive Summary

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    06/ Mapping the Markets

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    12/ Geopolitics and fundamentals are colliding in the oil price discovery process: which one will win?

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    17/ Timing and Tactical Insight - Oil and Energy should continue higher until mid Summer

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    24/ After 10 Months Of Outperformance, Will Commodities Keep On Outperforming Equities ?

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    27/ Timing and Tactical Insight - As the Equity Bull market is showing signs of exhaustion, some Commodities may continue to outperform

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    33 /What's Up With Core Inflation? Core CPI YoY Will Rise Over The Next 5 To 6 Quarters

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    37/ Timing and Tactical Insight - The current inflation acceleration is very much late cycle. This is not good news for risk-assets

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    44/ Devaluing The CNY: China's Secret Weapon In The "Trade Wars"? Not Really, But An Opportunity Too Juicy To Ignore, Or Waste

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    47/ Timing and Tactical Insight - A rising Dollar should strengthen the Trade Weighted Yuan. In the past, China has devalued to counter this effect.

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    51/ Splicing the markets - A EUR/USD rebound would also offer one last chance to exit Gold