September 11, 2018

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04 / The brewing EM Crisis is a handiwork of the US Dollar; it will get worse, before it gets any better: 

Emerging Market economies are in serious trouble. Increased US borrowing, which is helping power the US economy and its stock market for now, is hurting...

At The Capital Observer, we look at the liquidity being issued or being absorbed back by global central banks, the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury (liquidity flows) and model the manner those real money balances impact asset prices.
The grand-daddy of systemic liqu...

p 03 - 05 Gold set for one more rally to a new high before summer, but will likely come under extreme pressure later in the year in Q3 when the US Dollar takes off

p 06 - 09 Timing and Tactical Insight - Gold should break-out to the upside, before it retraces down on U...

EURUSD has broken down and will head even lower over the next two to three months, though it will probably experience a small counter-trend reversal first, according to The Capital Observer, the research service provided jointly by Diapason Currencies & Commodities UK...

April 5, 2017

So the Fed raised rates 25bps, an outcome that was pre-ordained as long as a week ago, after the February jobs data exceeded expectations and following a round of Fed speak in the week prior to the blackout period. The only drama left of the FOMC meeting was what signa...

March 7, 2017

Crude oil’s range-bound price may not stay that way very long—expect prices to trade lower until mid-year

By Robert Balan and Jean-François Owczarczak, CFTe, MSTA

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