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June 2021

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    • February 2017

    August 2017  -  Available 

    Previous Issues

    Issue #09, 30th August 2017

    Download Full Document

    Themes:

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    04/ Executive Summary

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    06/ Mapping the markets

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    08/ Shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet: it will start in September – the ongoing risk assets correction may extend to the fall leading to an interesting buying opportunity

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    11/Timing and Tactical Insight - The reflation trade is still bouncing off and re-testing its retracements lows; the bottoming process could extend into late October / early November. Commodities seemed to have turned the corner and are leading the way intoreflation wave II

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    15/ From the Fall, thestage is set for a weakerJapanese Yen andstronger Nikkei – theharbingers of ReflationWave II

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    18 / Timing and Tactical Insight - A weaker Yen and a stronger Nikkei will require hedging for currency risk

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    23 / Base Metals OutlookReaffirmed: getting longon base metals andChina is optimal in Q32017

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    26 / Timing and Tactical Insight - China and base metals are re-accelerating; these trends should continue into H1 2018

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    32 /EUR/USD, EU stock markets are hostagesto the inflation data,as the ECB waits forfurther developments

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    35/ Timing and Tactical Insight - Strong Euro into October should keep European markets under pressure, following that we would consider them a Buy

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    41 / Splicing the markets - Gold: the “canary in the gold mine” for reflation trades